Daddy Nose Best

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2012 I'll Have Another Bodemeister Preakness Stakes

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Preakness Stakes (G1), Post Time: 6:05 ET Saturday

Purse: $1,000,000; 1 3/16 miles

Post

Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Last Race

Watchmaker

ML

1

Tiger Walk I. Correas

K. Desormeaux

Wood Memorial, 4th

30-1

30-1

1 Teeth of the Dog M. Matz

J. Bravo

Wood Memorial, 3rd

15-1

15-1

1 Pretension C. Grove

J. Santiago

Canonero II, 1st

30-1

30-1

1 Zetterholm R. Dutrow, Jr.

J. Alvarado

Patsyprospect, 1st

30-1

20-1

1 Went The Day Well H. Motion

J. Velazquez

Kentucky Derby, 4th

6-1

6-1

1 Creative Cause M. Harrington

J. Rosario

Kentucky Derby, 5th

6-1

6-1

1 Bodemeister B. Baffert

M. Smith

Kentucky Derby, 2nd

9-5

8-5

1 Daddy Nose Best S. Asmussen

J. Leparoux

Kentucky Derby, 10th

15-1

12-1

1 I’ll Have Another D. O’Neill

M. Gutierrez

Kentucky Derby, 1st

2-1

5-2

1 Optimizer D. Lukas

C. Nakatani

Kentucky Derby, 11th

30-1

30-1

1 Cozzetti D. Romans

J. Lezcano

Arkansas Derby, 4th

30-1

30-1

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Finish Post Name
1 19 I’ll Have Another
2 6 Bodemeister
3 5 Dullahan
4 13 Went the Day Well
5 8 Creative Cause
6 20 Liaison
7 4 Union Rags
8 7 Rousing Sermon
9 14 Hansen
10 10 Daddy Nose Best
11 2 Optimizer
12 11 Alpha
13 16 El Padrino
14 17 Done Talking
15 18 Sabercat
16 15 Gemologist
17 9 Trinniberg
18 12 Prospective
19 3 Take Charge Indy
20 1 Daddy Long Legs

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Free Kentucky Derby Past Performances and Picks

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PP Horse Odds Comment
1  Daddy Long Legs 30-1  Hard to overlook flop in Juvenile over this strip
2  Optimizer 50-1  Triumph in potential swan song for “The Coach” unlikely
3  Take Charge Indy 15-1  Borel factor cannot be taken lightly aboard Florida Derby winner
4  Union Rags 9-2  Might need 20-horse field to get good trip
5  Dullahan 8-1  Tries to make it consecutive “turf/synth” horses from off the pace
6  Bodemeister 4-1  Massive price tag for Derby dream
7  Rousing Sermon 50-1  California-bred can pick up some pieces late
8  Creative Cause 12-1  Big grey needs to put mind on serious running through stretch
9  Trinniberg 50-1  Winner if finish line was on other side of the track
10  Daddy Nose Best 15-1  Consistent improvement accentuated by perfect pair as 3-year-old
11  Alpha 15-1  Rajiv gets the nod over Rosie in the irons
12  Prospective 30-1  4-time winner proved out-classed in Juvenile
13  Went the Day Well 20-1  Déjà vu all over again for Animal Kingdom connections?
14  Hansen 10-1  Repeat of stalking effort in Gotham is key to victory
15  Gemologist 6-1  Luster of perfection is enticing
16  El Padrino 20-1  Bejarano seeks back door score with 8th Derby mount on “other” Pletcher
17  Done Talking 50-1  Nobody’s talking like long shot winner of Ill
18  Sabercat 30-1  Not sold on path of success through Monmouth and Delta
19  I’ll Have Another 12-1  Barn struggles with shippers
20  Liaison 50-1  Needs major reversal back to 2-year-old form

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Find below Mike Welsch’s expert workout reviews and video from the Daily Racing Form for all of the 2012 Kentucky Derby entrants

Daddy Long Legs didn’t ship in until mid-week and won’t even train over the track until Friday. He finished far back in his only previous start on dirt here in the BC Juvenile, and faces a tough task, especially drawn on the rail.

Optimizer went okay in his final Derby breeze over a muddy strip on Sunday and has trained willingly enough on a regular basis although he seems a notch or two below the best in this field.

Take Charge Indy has trained far better coming out of his Florida Derby victory than going in, his easy April 19 drill at Palm Meadows was far superior than his similarly timed final Florida Derby prep three weeks earlier. Bred to handle the distance, he made a great impression in his first two days back at Churchill Downs. Add Calvin Borel to the equation and he is a major contender.

Union Rags looked the part of a Derby winner all winter at Palm Meadows and has continued to make a great appearance since shipping in to Churchill Downs last week. He turned in one of the better pre-Derby works seen here in years, a 59 seconds and change beauty with a superior gallop out on April 28. He bounced back from a failed tongue tie experiment earlier this week with a pair of strong looking gallops on Wednesday and Thursday and willing to forgive his hiccup in the Florida Derby. The one to beat if he gets any kind of a trip.

Dullahan has improved in steady fashion over the past six months, culminating with a superior effort in the Blue Grass, although his form and his high action suggest he’s a better horse on grass and synthetics than dirt. His final Derby prep was also indicative of that fact, more like his works this winter at Gulfstream than his sensational Polytrack drill six days out from the Blue Grass. He possesses the running style that could make him dangerous in this spot if he’s able to repeat his last.

Bodemeister is clearly the fastest horse in this field if able to duplicate his performance in the Arkansas Derby and another lightly raced 3-year-old whose form is heading in the right direction. He’s not a pretty mover, to say the least, jogging or galloping but it’s a different story when at full speed, his final Derby prep equal to if not superior to Union Rags’s eye-catching work the previous morning complete with an awesome gallop out. I was looking to side against him when arriving here but cannot eliminate him off that last move alone.

Rousing Sermon appeared a little stiff in his first visit to the track upon arriving from California but came back the next morning with a decent enough five-eighths drill although he has done nothing to indicate he’s ready to take the leap forward necessary to make him anything other than a minor player in this lineup.

Creative Cause has not had the best week of the Derby contenders after coming up with a minor foot issue on the flight east. He does not seem real comfortable at a jog and like several others in this field has shown a tendency to get hot in the morning. He does look better once allowed to stretch his legs and did finish willingly enough in his one local breeze only to take two days off before returning to the track with just an average training session on Thursday. Getting mixed signals from one of the major players.

Trinniberg has looked uncomfortable, for the most part, over this track just as he had prior to the Breeders’ Cup during the fall. He did have one very good morning when given the opportunity to really pick up the pace on Wednesday. Seems to be facing an uphill task trying to carry his speed 1 1/4 miles.

Daddy Nose Best has made the best appearance, on a regular basis, of any member of this field over the past two weeks and gives every indication he’s sitting on yet another big performance. He finished strong, galloped out very willingly drilling six furlongs on April 23 and hasn’t missed a beat ever since. Stretch runner should also benefit from what figures to be a very honest pace scenario in this year’s Derby. My choice at a square price.

Alpha did all his major preparations in New York, where he appeared to finish willingly enough under pressure from the tape I saw of his final Derby trial. He is one of several who have caught my eye in the morning since arriving in town earlier this week and from what I see obviously none the worse for wear from the minor injury he sustained in the Wood. The lone caveat, for me, being the fact he was forced to miss a key workout for a race that usually requires no blips in the training regime in the weeks leading up to the event.

Prospective disappointed in the Blue Grass but appears to have bounced out of the race nicely with a steady series of impressive looking gallops, punctuated by an easy, well-orchestrated five-furlong work last weekend. Stretch runner may prove a live longshot, capable of grabbing at least a share of the gimmicks, returning to dirt.

Went the Day Well has big shoes to fill trying to duplicate stablemate Animal Kingdom’s performance in the 2011 Derby. He did show some improvement working with blinkers for the first time here last weekend, pulling away late from a stablemate he had trouble passing one week earlier without the shades at Keeneland. Relatively inexperienced colt still seems a little on the green side, not expecting lightning to strike again for last year’s Derby-winning team.

Hansen did all his training in the relative anonymity of the Trackside Training Center, as he did before his victory in the BC Juvenile. But unlike his energetic yet well controlled gallops prior to that race, his first visit to the strip here Thursday was anything but that as he proved rank, aggressive, and hard to handle during just a routine gallop. That type of behavior would certainly not enhance whatever chance he might have of staying 1 1/4 miles.

Gemologist did all his final major preparations at Palm Meadows, where he turned in a very solid work on April 20 prior to my departure for Louisville. He has also made an incredible appearance since arriving locally earlier this week and has already proven his fondness for the Churchill Downs strip. Well-drawn in first stall of the auxiliary gate, there is lots to like here.

El Padrino was one of my early Derby prospects after watching him breeze a couple of times this winter at Palm Meadows when he gave every indication he would run all day. But he has seemed to have tailed off in subsequent workouts since his grueling victory in the Risen Star while also having no visible excuse in the Florida Derby. He did look well in his first two local gallops but expectations are not as high now as they had been several months ago.

Done Talking has looked good in all local training sessions since arriving from Maryland earlier this week and obviously is an improving sort but seems to be a little overmatched in this field.

Sabercat, like stablemate Daddy Nose Best, has had two very good weeks over his home course while not missing a beat before or after either of his last couple of local drills, both of which were very good. He’s another late-running sort capable of picking up some pieces at a big price.

I’ll Have Another is yet one more member of this field who, unfortunately, did all his major work prior to shipping to town. Has put in a series of very energetic looking gallops since his arrival and there is little not to like from what I have seen of him this week. At his best when forwardly placed but could wind up a bit out of his comfort zone from tough outside post.

Liaison has been a disappointment thus far at 3 and although he has shown some signs of life in his two Churchill Down works, it’s not enough to suggest the type of forward move necessary to make him competitive with this group.

My Adonis has looked fine his first two local gallops but is another who would appear to be biting off far too much if he does happen to draw into the field.

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By Jay Hovdey at DRF…

Nothing’s harder in these frantic times, when the media has become not only pervasive but social as well, than catching one’s breath. Okay, maybe there is a period of relative calm well past midnight, when the dogs are sleeping and the tweets are just beginning to dribble in from Western Europe. Then comes the dawn, and the onslaught begins anew, rendering even the most diligent blog jockeys behind before they start, the information piling as high along with the demand for its immediate digestion.

Then, every once in a while, the noise abates, as if the guy outside with the jack hammer decides to knock off for lunch. The window opens, the air is fresh, and there is suddenly time to consider the cards on the table.

As of Friday, 30 of the graded stakes races leading up to the Kentucky Derby listed on Daily Racing Form’s 2012 Road to the Kentucky Derby had been run. The Jerome and the Lexingtonwere to be contested on Saturday, while the Derby Trial will help kick off the Churchill Downs meet on April 29, but little more.

Those 30 races, beginning on Jan. 8 with the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita and bracketed by the Arkansas Derby and Blue Grass Stakes of April 14, were won by 26 different 3-year-olds.

There are four two-time winners among those 26: the sprinter Trinniberg, who won the Swale and the Bay Shore, both at seven furlongs; the California-based I’ll Have Another, who won the Robert Lewis at 43-1 and the Santa Anita Derby at 4-1; Daddy Nose Best, winner of the El Camino Real Derby on Golden Gate’s Tapeta surface and the Sunland Derby on dirt, and Secret Circle, winner of the Rebel Stakes and a division of the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park.

Out of Bounds, winner of the Sham, subsequently fractured a cannon bone. Thunder Moccasin, winner of the Hutcheson Stakes on Feb. 11, has not raced since. Algorithms, winner of the Holy Bull, injured a leg and went to the sidelines. Secret Circle was removed from Derby consideration this week and is undergoing physical evaluation.

Twelve of the 30 preps were run at 1 1/8 miles or more, including the nine-furlong Palm Beach Stakes on the Gulfstream turf (Howe Great) and the 1 3/16-mile UAE Derby on Tapeta at Meydan (Daddy Long Legs). Only Daddy Nose Best won more than one of the dozen.

This year Gotham Stakes winner Hansen lost to Algorithms in the Holy Bull and to Dullahan in the Blue Grass. Fountain of Youth winner Union Rags lost to Take Charge Indy in the Florida Derby. Arkansas Derby winner Bodemeister lost to Creative Cause in the San Felipe Stakes, while Creative Cause lost to Drill in the San Vicente Stakes and to I’ll Have Another in the Santa Anita Derby. Lecomte Stakes winner Mr. Bowling finished last behind El Padrino in the Risen Star, after which El Padrino finished fourth to Take Charge Indy in the Florida Derby. Battle Hardened beat Prospective in the Sam Davis and Prospective beat Battle Hardened in the Tampa Bay Derby, but then Prospective finished sixth to Dullahan in the Blue Grass. Withers winner Alpha lost to Gemologist in the Wood Memorial.

There are other tidbits of info to consider as the Derby approaches, though not readily gleaned from the data on the Road to the Derby chart:

◗ For the first time this year there will be an also-eligible list of entrants accepted for the Derby, poised to join the fray in the event of any 11th-hour bailouts and virtually guaranteeing a 20-horse field.

◗ The Old Farmer’s Almanac offers a long-range forecast of cooler and rainier than normal weather in Louisville during Derby Week.

◗ The 2012 Kentucky Derby will coincide with the celebration of Cinco de Mayo – but you already knew that.

◗ In the last 10 runnings, Kentucky Derby winners Funny Cide, Mine That Bird, Giacomo, and Super Saver somehow neglected to win any of the preps on the Road to the Kentucky Derby list.

Santa Anita meet noteworthy tidbits

Santa Anita wraps up its meeting on Sunday with 10 races, topped by the marathon San Juan Capistrano and David and Jill Heerensperger’s 2010 winner Bourbon Bay, who will be attempting to join George Royal, Niarkos, and T.H. Approval as two-time winners.

In the meantime, congratulations to champion jockey Joel Rosario, who ran off with his second straight Santa Anita title, and to Bob Baffert, who also won his second straight title and 10th overall, dating back to 1995.

Credit where credit’s due, though, going past the top names. Joe Talamo, third in the standings behind Rosario and Rafael Bejarano, recorded win number 1,000 at the meet in a career dating way back to 2006, when he was 16. In terms of age, that puts Talamo about two years ahead of when Russell Baze nailed his first grand. But then, who’s counting?

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